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Mumbai:
The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised its base
interest rate for the eurozone by 0.25 percentage points
to 4.0 per cent, effective June 6.
The
quarter percentage hike, the eighth since the ECB first
started tightening monetary policy in December 2005,
after a 30-month freeze at 2 per cent, doubles the key
interest rate in just 18 months.
Analysts
expect the current hike to be followed by two or more
similar increases later this year.
The
increase comes amid a growing optimism in the eurozone
economy. Spearheaded by a resurgent Germany, economic
growth in the EU is expected to be around 2.5 per cent
this year and next.
Unemployment
in the eurozone, which is already at a 15-year low of
7.1 per cent, is also expected to fall further.
But,
with the euro at near-record levels against the dollar
and other currencies, some European leaders like the
new French president Nicolas Sarkozy are worried that
the ECB could damage the eurozone''s recovery by raising
borrowing costs and forcing the euro even higher.
The
ECB rate hike comes ahead of a planned meeting of the
Bank of England''s monetary policy committee. BoE, however,
is expected to leave UK rates unchanged after last month''s
quarter point hike.
In
the euro zone, business and consumer confidence have
been rising, while growth at 3 per cent in the
first quarter is largely keeping pace with last
year''s levels and unemployment is falling.
The
International Monetary Fund said early this week that
eurozone interest rates need to rise further to counter
a pickup in inflationary pressures as the economy moves
"from recovery to upswing."
The
Fund, however, did not say how much tightening would
be needed to tackle inflation. The head of the IMF''s
European department, Michael Deppler, said there was
no need for rates to rise above 4.5 per cent this year.
Year-on-year
inflation in the euro zone was 1.9 per cent in May -
unchanged from the previous two months, and around the
ECB''s guidelines
of just under 2 per cent.
It
is unlikely that the ECB rushes into further increases
beyond the current one from 3.75 per cent to 4 per cent.
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