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Chennai:
The Actuarial Society of India (ASI) has cautioned private life insurers
against using the Life Insurance Corporation of India's (LIC) annuitant mortality
table without suitable modifications as it suffers from deficiencies like:
- The
table makes no allowance for future mortality experience
- It
is based on aggregate male and female experience and
- It
is blended in with an out-of-date UK table at ages where there was insufficient
experience on which to base an estimate.
As
a result the mortality rates the LIC's table are two or three times the corresponding
rates in more modern annuitant mortality tables in other countries. Mortality
tables are used by life insurers to base their premium rates for various products. According
to the ASI, the appointed actuaries of life insurers who sell annuity products
should be familiar with the recent reports of the Continuous Mortality Investigation
Bureau in the UK, and with the development of the new annuitant mortality
table recently published for use in Germany, known as DAV 2004 R. In
its guidance note ASI has said that good amount of research has taken place
in recent years in other countries to investigate and understand the key features
of annuitant mortality and in particular to highlight the development of annuitant
mortality over time. In general the rate of improvement of annuitant mortality
has taken demographers and actuarial professionals by surprise, in some cases
despite the existence of regular mortality investigations. According
to the note, the impact of these changes has been significant, leading to
major reserve strain on annuity products and contributing in at least one
very high profile case to the downfall of a well established insurance company. With
life expectancy going up even in India, is LIC undercharging for its annuity
products, asks an appointed actuary of a private life insurer. It should be
noted that not many private life insurers have launched annuity products here. Reacting
to ASI's warning, LIC's chief actuary G N Agarwal says, "Our annuitant
mortality table is the first mortality table of pensioners or annuitant lives
in India. Prior to this, insurers / actuaries had been using the British annuitants'
table with suitable modifications. We feel, the use of the Indian table with
suitable modifications is better than using a British table with modifications." He
adds, "So far as warning from ASI to the actuaries for use of present
annuitant mortality table is concerned, it is actually an advice prompted
by the recent reports on mortality investigations in the UK and Germany. The
study revealed considerable improvement in the annuitant mortality over time."
Denying
that the LIC was undercharging premium, Agarwal says, "All mortality
tables give mortality rates based on past experience. There is always a gap
between publishing the table and the period for which the experience has been
used to base the rates. The gap is generally two to three years. LIC's latest
annuitant mortality table is LIC A (96-98) published in 2000, based
on LIC's mortality experience during the period 1996-98 under its pensioners'
policies." According
to him, "No insurer / actuary uses the mortality rates in its original
form under its assurance and annuity products. The rates
are used after appropriate modifications projecting the rates in the future.
LIC also has derived its annuity premium rates after suitable modification
of the table."
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