BBB+
rating for Time Warner drawdown
Venkatachari
Jagannathan
6 April 2002
Chennai:
Standard & Poors (S&P), the global rating agency,
has assigned its BBB+ rating to AOL Time Warner Incs
$6-billion Rule 415 shelf drawdown. AOL Time Warners
corporate credit rating is BBB+/A-2. The outlook
is stable.
The
New York-based AOL Time Warner is the largest media company
in the US with vertically integrated positions in publishing,
music, filmed entertainment, cable networks, cable TV,
and Internet services. The company had about $30
billion of debt and debt-like preferred as of 31 December
2001, including the recent AOL Europe transaction.
The drawdown consists
of $1 billion of 5 5/8 per cent notes due 2005; $1 billion
of 6.15 per cent notes due 2007; $2 billion of 6 7/8 per
cent notes due 2012; and $2 billion of 7.7 per cent notes
due 2032.
"The pro-forma
total debt to EBITDA for the yearend 2002 should be roughly
in line with S&Ps target of 3.0x for the company
at the current rating, barring further debt incurrence
beyond the AOL Europe buyout," says S&P credit
analyst Heather Goodchild.
Goodchild cautions:
"However, leverage could rise above the appropriate
level if recent discussions regarding the Time Warner
Entertainment/Advance Newhouse (TWE-A/N) cable joint venture
lead to an AOL Time Warner buyout of the Advance Newhouse
stake."
S&P says the
leverage also could increase if the AT&T stake in
Time Warner Entertainment Co LP (TWE) is registered because
of the $1.4-billion minority portion of TWEs debt-like
Series A capital and related dividend obligations. The
rating agency had expected that either TWE will be
restructured or that AOL Time Warner will buy out the
stake.
S&P had viewed
the Series A as more equity-like in terms of the expected
ultimate ownership. In addition, the companys revised
earnings expectations, share repurchases, and the use
of debt in the AOL Europe buyout have curtailed debt capacity
within the current rating.
According to S&P neither a TWE-A/N buyout, nor the
TWE minority stake debt-like Series A, nor any partial
buyout of TWE, is currently
incorporated in the outlook. Either a TWE-A/N buyout
or a partial TWE buyout could lead to a revision of the
outlook. Share repurchases could also prompt an outlook
revision.
The agency notes
that although early signs of a recovery are emerging,
improvement in cash flow and credit measures still could
be hampered by the economy or by a slower-than-expected
subscription growth.
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