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Tomokazu
Seo of Nomura Securities says that the global appetite
for risk is selective, but is positive for India. Talking
to CNBC-TV18, he said, Indian valuations were expensive,
but added, "I think India has become a crown jewel
as a global emerging market so I think quality assets
are always expensive."
He
affirms that Japanese investors are still very positive
on India. "The Japanese investors attitude towards
Indian funds has become down-to-earth because investors
saw the spectacular performance in 2005. This year's May-June's
turbulence ie year to date performance is 40 per cent.
So in general, it is very positive for the Indian market,
but people are getting in and out of the Indian market."
Investor
preference, he says is for technology and banking sectors
in India. "In terms of information technology, I
like the business model, it is competitive to the global
market and whether global economic momentum is up or down,
India's outsourced companies will benefit. In terms of
the banking sector, I can't resist 30 perm cent credit
growth and there is also opportunity for consumer finance,"
he says.
Some
new India-specific funds are being launched in Japan,
he says. He also says that the Indian market is better
balanced than Russia and Brazil. "If the US interest
and the US economic state will be stable, then there will
be good opportunities for the Indian market to perform
because the Indian market has well balanced sectors when
compared to Russia and the Brazil, they are more resource
based markets."
He
expects another 10 per cent rise on the Sensex, if economic
conditions are good. Moreover, speaking about the Japanese
markets, he mentions, "In terms of Japanese investors,
this year the Japanese equity market is not so good, with
lacklustre performance. When one looks at the Nikkei and
Topix, year-to date performance is flat. In the case of
midcap and smallcaps, stocks
are actually 30 per cent and 50 per cent negative. So
if that market recovers, that is good news for money flow
for rich Japanese investors, which means good flows for
Indian markets."
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