The
union budget aims at striking a balance between sustained
economic growth, inflation and the social objectives
as laid down by the NCMP. There has been a renewed thrust
on agriculture, rural development programs, infrastructure
spending and employment generation programs. While the
budget has laid major stress on agriculture, education,
employment and health / welfare schemes, the implementation
of these projects will be critical in the achievement
of these objectives.
The
government is targeting a higher GDP growth rate of
8 per cent-10 per cent on a sustained basis and has
recognised the need for a renewed thrust on infrastructure
investments in order to achieve these objectives, and
the proposed use of our foreign exchange reserves for
this purpose is quite significant in that respect.
There
is also the recognition that inorder to achieve the
targeted growth rate, increased emphasis will have to
be given to the agricultural sector and rural infrastructure
as this sector employs over two thirds of the work force
and contributes 20 per cent of GDP. The importance and
role of the financial sector as an efficient delivery
mechanism has been recognized, and efforts to create
a more robust environment for their functioning is very
progressive.
One
of the positives of the budget has been the further
moderation of customs and excise duties with an aim
to make industry more competitive. The successful implementation
of VAT and phased reduction of CST is a major positive
as demonstrated by the robust collections. The scope
of service tax has been expanded and is gaining importance
as a major revenue generator.
On
the direct taxation front, the 1 per cent additional
cess on all taxes as well as the increase in DDT by
companies and money market and liquid funds is a negative
step and has no significant impact on revenues of the
government.
The
reduction of tax concessions is a necessity in order
to create a level playing field, however we feel that
the emphasis should be on increasing the tax base and
compliance levels rather than frequent tinkering with
taxation levels. With respect to the Mutual Fund industry
we are pleased with the proposal to permit MFs to launch
and operate dedicated infrastructure funds and with
the proposal to permit individuals to invest in overseas
securities through Indian mutual funds.
Overall,
the budget has maintained continuity of policy in key
areas, however its attempt to tackle higher inflation
seem rather hap hazard. On the positive side, it has
tried to adhere to revenue & fiscal deficit targets,
moderate tax structures and have attempted to provide
an enabling environment for achieving and maintaining
a higher growth rate.